Mad as a Hatter Facebook post 2020 07 10
“But I don’t want to go among mad people,” Alice remarked.
“Oh, you can’t help that,” said the Cat: “We’re all mad here. I’m mad. You’re mad.”
“How do you know I’m mad?” said Alice.
“You must be,” said the Cat, “or you wouldn’t have come here.”
― Lewis Carroll, Alice in Wonderland
A great article on Dr. Thomas Cowan’s website begins this way, and this is another example of literature from the past describing the present. His article explains the insanity of the testing logic from one perspective, but below are the CDC’s own words.
https://www.cdc.gov/sars/guidance/F-lab/assays.html
What the CDC is saying is, if it is possible that SARS-CoV (causing COVID-19) is present, it probably is. If it is not possible that the SARS-CoV is present, THEN it is a false positive.
Or to put it another way: If it is possibly SARS-CoV, then it is actually SARS-CoV. That is the best we can do since the test is unreliable.
Or, if you are here taking the test, a positive is confirmed whether you take the test or not, because so many other people are positive whether they take the test or not.
2. How bad is our Pandemic? The Provisional Death Count for COVID shows the peak back in April and approaching 0 now. Even with a lag of 7 days on average, the graph is not going to be markedly different through July 4 when we look at it next month.https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm (Click below for current graph from beginning of “pandemic.”)
3. This CDC graph (about 6 clicks down on the page) shows COVID tests declining and the percentage of those tested positive rising. Fewer healthy people are being tested, so higher percentage show positive possible even as hospital visits and deaths decline. The percentage would be MUCH lower if all people were tested (assuming tests are accurate, which they are not, see below), and the asymptomatic (also known as people who have a viral or exosome particle but no symptoms) would be higher (affirming the high false positive rate of the tests).
4. “The CDC just came out with a report that should be earth-shattering to the narrative of the political class, yet it will go into the thick pile of vital data and information about the virus that is not getting out to the public. For the first time, the CDC has attempted to offer a real estimate of the overall death rate for COVID-19, and under its most likely scenario, the number is 0.26%. Officials estimate a 0.4% fatality rate among those who are symptomatic and project a 35% rate of asymptomatic cases among those infected, which drops the overall infection fatality rate (IFR) to just 0.26% -- almost exactly where Stanford researchers pegged it a month ago.” https://www.greenmedinfo.com/blog/horowitz-cdc-confirms-remarkably-low-coronavirus-death-rate-where-media https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/covidview/index.html
This image is about 6 clicks down the page.
5. COVID is only at the epidemic threshold (not pandemic?) but will likely increase to epidemic level according to this CDC page: “Key updates for week 26, ending June 27, 2020
Nationally, levels of influenza-like illness (ILI) and COVID-19-like illness (CLI) activity remain lower than peaks seen in March and April but are increasing in most regions. The percentage of specimens testing positive for SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, also increased from last week. Mortality attributed to COVID-19 decreased compared to last week and is currently at the epidemic threshold but will likely increase as additional death certificates are processed.+ https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/covidview/index.html
https://www.greenmedinfo.com/blog/horowitz-cdc-confirms-remarkably-low-coronavirus-death-rate-where-media
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“But I don’t want to go among mad people,” Alice remarked.
“Oh, you can’t help that,” said the Cat: “We’re all mad here. I’m mad. You’re mad.”
“How do you know I’m mad?” said Alice.
“You must be,” said the Cat, “or you wouldn’t have come here.”
― Lewis Carroll, Alice in Wonderland
A great article on Dr. Thomas Cowan’s website begins this way, and this is another example of literature from the past describing the present. His article explains the insanity of the testing logic from one perspective, but below are the CDC’s own words.
- The Mad Hatter’s logic applies to COVID testing:
https://www.cdc.gov/sars/guidance/F-lab/assays.html
What the CDC is saying is, if it is possible that SARS-CoV (causing COVID-19) is present, it probably is. If it is not possible that the SARS-CoV is present, THEN it is a false positive.
Or to put it another way: If it is possibly SARS-CoV, then it is actually SARS-CoV. That is the best we can do since the test is unreliable.
Or, if you are here taking the test, a positive is confirmed whether you take the test or not, because so many other people are positive whether they take the test or not.
2. How bad is our Pandemic? The Provisional Death Count for COVID shows the peak back in April and approaching 0 now. Even with a lag of 7 days on average, the graph is not going to be markedly different through July 4 when we look at it next month.https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm (Click below for current graph from beginning of “pandemic.”)
3. This CDC graph (about 6 clicks down on the page) shows COVID tests declining and the percentage of those tested positive rising. Fewer healthy people are being tested, so higher percentage show positive possible even as hospital visits and deaths decline. The percentage would be MUCH lower if all people were tested (assuming tests are accurate, which they are not, see below), and the asymptomatic (also known as people who have a viral or exosome particle but no symptoms) would be higher (affirming the high false positive rate of the tests).
4. “The CDC just came out with a report that should be earth-shattering to the narrative of the political class, yet it will go into the thick pile of vital data and information about the virus that is not getting out to the public. For the first time, the CDC has attempted to offer a real estimate of the overall death rate for COVID-19, and under its most likely scenario, the number is 0.26%. Officials estimate a 0.4% fatality rate among those who are symptomatic and project a 35% rate of asymptomatic cases among those infected, which drops the overall infection fatality rate (IFR) to just 0.26% -- almost exactly where Stanford researchers pegged it a month ago.” https://www.greenmedinfo.com/blog/horowitz-cdc-confirms-remarkably-low-coronavirus-death-rate-where-media https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/covidview/index.html
This image is about 6 clicks down the page.
5. COVID is only at the epidemic threshold (not pandemic?) but will likely increase to epidemic level according to this CDC page: “Key updates for week 26, ending June 27, 2020
Nationally, levels of influenza-like illness (ILI) and COVID-19-like illness (CLI) activity remain lower than peaks seen in March and April but are increasing in most regions. The percentage of specimens testing positive for SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, also increased from last week. Mortality attributed to COVID-19 decreased compared to last week and is currently at the epidemic threshold but will likely increase as additional death certificates are processed.+ https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/covidview/index.html
https://www.greenmedinfo.com/blog/horowitz-cdc-confirms-remarkably-low-coronavirus-death-rate-where-media
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